Despite efforts to flip traditionally red Texas and blue Virginia, neither presidential candidate has been able to move the needle in states they wanted to turn in 2024, according to a new survey released Thursday by Emerson College Polling/The Hill.

Once seen as possibly drifting into purple territory, former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris 51% to 46% in Texas. The 5 percentage point lead marks a one-point increase since the poll was last taken in early September. The survey also saw current Senator Ted Cruz leading Democrat challenger Colin Allred 49% to 45%.

“Hispanic voters in Texas break for Harris 54% to 41%, and black voters 87% to 8%, while white voters break for Trump, 64% to 33%,” Spencer Kimball, executive director of Emerson College Polling, said. “Among Hispanic voters, Harris has more support among women, with 62%, than men, 46%. The overall gender divide finds women break for Harris by six while men break for Trump by 19.”

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